Wiley 'Top downloaded paper award 2018-2019' in Geophysical Research Letters

Article awarded ‘Top downloaded paper of 2018-2019 in Geophysical Research Letters’

Libardoni et al, “Underestimating Internal Variability Leads to Narrow Estimates of Climate System Properties”, was among the most downloaded papers in 2020 among articles published in 2018-2019 in the journal Geophysical Research Letters.


In April 2020, the article published in the American Geophysical Union (AGU) journal Geophysical Research Letters was recognized by the publisher Wiley as one of the top downloaded in recent publication history!

The article shows that the equilibrium climate sensitivity — how sensitive the Earth’s climate is to changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide — may be underestimated in individual climate models. Probabilistic estimates of climate system properties often rely on the comparison of model simulation to observed temperature records and an estimate of the internal climate variability. If the internal climate variability is wrong, then the probabilistic estimates will be wrong and climate predictions could miss the mark. Congratulations to Alex Libardoni, who lead the work as a PhD student at Penn State, his PhD advisor Chris Forest and co-authors Andrei Sokolov from MIT and Erwan Monier, from UC Davis.

Reference: Libardoni AG, Forest CE, Sokolov AP, Monier E (2019) Underestimating Internal Variability Leads to Narrow Estimates of Climate System Properties. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46(16), 10000-100007, doi:10.1029/2019GL082442. [pdf]